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Pivot Points-A Powerful Trading Tool!
Posted on November 18th, 2010 No commentsPivot Point Analysis is one of the most robust and proven market analysis method. It works for all types of markets whether stocks, forex, futures, options, commodities or ETFs that have an established range. Range is the high and low of a given trading session.
The high and low are the two most important reference points for a given trading session. The high is a reference point for those who bought out of greed thinking that they were missing an opportunity. Similarly, the low depicts selling out of fear thinking that they would lose by staying in the long trade.
Pivot Point Analysis incorporates these three most important reference points for a given trading session that is the High (H), Low (L) and the Close (C). Here’s how we calculate the Pivot Points and the three different support and resistance levels based on the prior trading period.
Since there is no formal open and close in the forex market, we can take the NY Bank Settlement at 5:00 PM EST as the close of the daily trading session and 5:05 PM EST as the next day’s trading session open. It is rare to find the daily trading session go beyond the R2 and S2 levels.
R3 represents extreme bullishness in the market usually caused by news driven price shocks. R2 level is where the market usually experiences significant resistance and this level provides an exit target for long positions. In bearish market conditions, prices will tend to come close to R1 but most times will fail.
P is the focal price level. As a rule, if the market opens above the Pivot Point P, the sentiment is considered to be bullish and if the market opens below the Pivot Point P, the market sentiment is considered to be bearish. S1 is the price level where price action tends to reverse under bullish market conditions but most times falls short. The market often sees significant support at or near the S2 level under bearish market conditions. S3 level represents price decline mostly caused by news driven price shocks.
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